Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.096006 0.150497 0.215155 0.294834 0.388093 0.491887 0.614397
2025-12-14 0.026058 0.080259 0.163110 0.281820 0.435763 0.620009 0.849846
2025-12-21 0.009648 0.061030 0.157184 0.307841 0.513497 0.767771 1.092303
2025-12-28 0.002377 0.047918 0.154315 0.334281 0.589801 0.913205 1.332545
2026-01-04 0.000008 0.034948 0.145542 0.348115 0.646592 1.032355 1.539449
2026-01-11 NaN 0.030891 0.151825 0.383991 0.733054 1.189181 1.792996
2026-01-18 NaN 0.025507 0.152789 0.410187 0.805432 1.327699 2.023940
2026-01-25 NaN 0.016872 0.141265 0.413443 0.843934 1.421454 2.198596
2026-02-01 NaN 0.006397 0.113639 0.383894 0.831856 1.446701 2.285533
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000738 0.085075 0.345678 0.802686 1.446306 2.337664
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.071563 0.333569 0.811407 1.495821 2.452776
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.067150 0.339990 0.848942 1.584775 2.618993
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.058098 0.335260 0.870222 1.654320 2.764668
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.045738 0.319045 0.871566 1.695875 2.874312
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.049971 0.347423 0.948291 1.844469 3.125455
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.054033 0.375439 1.024604 1.992766 3.376605
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.053437 0.390196 1.078268 2.108854 3.585254
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.060940 0.428272 1.172175 2.282729 3.870929
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.064823 0.456026 1.248460 2.431572 4.123618
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.060318 0.459471 1.282936 2.520675 4.297135
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.045303 0.428171 1.255769 2.520455 4.351246
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.029975 0.387596 1.208988 2.489867 4.363242
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.023574 0.374714 1.210608 2.528945 4.467987